Fire on the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 955 | 60% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 947 | 1062 | 34% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 819 | 1047 | 21% | 2020-09-28 | Lost |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2019-10-22 | Won |
| 1083 | 947 | 69% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2006-08-19 | Won |
| 975 | 1006 | 46% | 2003-08-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 976 vs 1016.1 has a 44.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).