Swan Song
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (French): 9
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-04-19 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1292 | 17% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 992 | 1075 | 38% | 2019-09-10 | Lost |
| 1110 | 958 | 71% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 958 | 71% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 958 | 71% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 958 | 71% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 958 | 71% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
| 1120 | 1084 | 55% | 2003-07-10 | Won |
| 957 | 1074 | 34% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1039.4 vs 1027.3 has a 51.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).