Mike Red
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (13 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 16
Defender wins (German): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1041 | 1149 | 35% | 2022-06-29 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1084 | 48% | 2021-06-02 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2021-03-28 | Lost |
| 976 | 1005 | 46% | 2020-01-20 | Won |
| 1005 | 976 | 54% | 2019-12-30 | Lost |
| 865 | 1207 | 12% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
| 1142 | 916 | 79% | 2015-07-28 | Lost |
| 1098 | 881 | 78% | 2011-08-14 | Lost |
| 1208 | 983 | 79% | 2007-08-04 | Lost |
| 1035 | 959 | 61% | 2006-06-07 | Won |
| 992 | 1074 | 38% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1027 has a 52.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).