Mayhem in Manila
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 206 (16 on the archive and 190 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 97
Defender wins (Japanese): 109
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1032 | 53% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1032 | 1055 | 47% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1099 | 1169 | 40% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 852 | 1230 | 10% | 2016-05-23 | Won |
| 903 | 905 | 50% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1125 | 52% | 2011-12-05 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1004 | 55% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1033 | 1279 | 20% | 2011-06-06 | Won |
| 918 | 954 | 45% | 2003-07-30 | Lost |
| 1074 | 993 | 61% | 2002-04-28 | Won |
| 1086 | 1208 | 33% | 2001-10-07 | Lost |
| 1006 | 986 | 53% | 2000-04-09 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1010 | 60% | 1999-07-31 | Won |
| 1120 | 1003 | 66% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1033.6 vs 1067.8 has a 45.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).