Showdown in Syria
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 3
Defender wins (Indian): 3
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 1
Defender wins (Indian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1058 | 54% | 2024-08-07 | Lost |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2024-04-03 | Won |
| 875 | 1292 | 8% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1169 | 921 | 81% | 2013-06-06 | Lost |
| 983 | 997 | 48% | 2008-12-30 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-01-21 | Won |
| 1208 | 1191 | 52% | 1997-09-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1033.1 vs 1078.6 has a 43.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).