Merzenhausen Zoo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 185 (29 on the archive and 156 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 81
Defender wins (German): 103
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1130 | 1106 | 53% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 882 | 932 | 43% | 2022-12-19 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1009 | 63% | 2022-11-21 | Lost |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2022-10-10 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1141 | 69% | 2022-08-31 | Won |
| 1111 | 1238 | 32% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1070 | 50% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 966 | 1038 | 40% | 2020-10-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 954 | 53% | 2019-08-24 | Won |
| 1119 | 1242 | 33% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
| 1242 | 978 | 82% | 2018-01-01 | Tied |
| 1207 | 976 | 79% | 2016-08-24 | Won |
| 916 | 977 | 41% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 951 | 889 | 59% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1034 | 59% | 2013-01-10 | Lost |
| 1094 | 959 | 69% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1102 | 38% | 2011-07-17 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1090 | 61% | 2011-04-29 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 881 | 1098 | 22% | 2009-12-22 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1164 | 43% | 2009-05-23 | Lost |
| 1309 | 1285 | 53% | 2007-03-01 | Won |
| 1084 | 844 | 80% | 2003-03-27 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2003-02-25 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1019 | 59% | 2000-12-10 | Lost |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 2000-09-24 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 2000-07-11 | Won |
| 947 | 988 | 44% | 2000-06-11 | Won |
| 954 | 790 | 72% | 2000-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1060.5 vs 1034.4 has a 53.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).