The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Polish): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1098 | 32% | 2024-03-09 | Tied |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1035 | 959 | 61% | 2016-09-17 | Won |
| 980 | 1209 | 21% | 2003-04-23 | Lost |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 2000-11-15 | Lost |
| 947 | 1078 | 32% | 2000-10-22 | Lost |
| 992 | 1074 | 38% | 2000-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 997.1 vs 1044.9 has a 43.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).