Tretten in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (British): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1001 | 1019 | 47% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
| 947 | 1046 | 36% | 2023-05-20 | Won |
| 1403 | 1000 | 91% | 2022-11-25 | Won |
| 923 | 965 | 44% | 2022-04-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
| 819 | 1011 | 25% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 932 | 61% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1101 | 1209 | 35% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
| 959 | 1037 | 39% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 916 | 889 | 54% | 2013-08-21 | Won |
| 1070 | 951 | 66% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 1087 | 943 | 70% | 2012-11-11 | Won |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 1056 | 983 | 60% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 1164 | 863 | 85% | 2008-09-09 | Won |
| 1074 | 984 | 63% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 1086 | 955 | 68% | 2004-02-07 | Won |
| 1098 | 927 | 73% | 2002-04-13 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2002-03-19 | Won |
| 1267 | 1208 | 58% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 992 | 1074 | 38% | 2002-01-11 | Lost |
| 959 | 1030 | 40% | 2001-10-16 | Won |
| 1084 | 1074 | 51% | 2001-07-08 | Won |
| 1208 | 1191 | 52% | 2001-07-05 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1054.2 vs 1014.7 has a 55.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).