The Lawless Roads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (British): 14
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 903 | 1000 | 36% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 978 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 1085 | 1028 | 58% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 959 | 959 | 50% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 823 | 73% | 2023-05-25 | Won |
| 923 | 965 | 44% | 2022-12-20 | Won |
| 1101 | 907 | 75% | 2020-06-09 | Won |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 952 | 1013 | 41% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
| 1239 | 981 | 82% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
| 976 | 1051 | 39% | 2014-06-01 | Won |
| 963 | 976 | 48% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1069 | 69% | 2013-12-20 | Won |
| 1052 | 1279 | 21% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2010-01-13 | Won |
| 1164 | 992 | 73% | 2010-01-12 | Lost |
| 1013 | 906 | 65% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1202 | 51% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1272 | 1030 | 80% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 978 | 986 | 49% | 2005-10-30 | Lost |
| 947 | 1092 | 30% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1038.8 vs 1011.2 has a 53.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).