Cahier Carriers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (17 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 923 | 965 | 44% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 959 | 959 | 50% | 2020-07-19 | Won |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1095 | 60% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 865 | 1207 | 12% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 927 | 897 | 54% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
| 1238 | 993 | 80% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1059 | 851 | 77% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 974 | 986 | 48% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1212 | 1101 | 65% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
| 1018 | 1146 | 32% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 1018 | 1205 | 25% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 1098 | 881 | 78% | 2011-09-26 | Won |
| 1116 | 1164 | 43% | 2011-09-05 | Lost |
| 955 | 1010 | 42% | 2011-03-25 | Lost |
| 1208 | 983 | 79% | 2002-11-23 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 1028.2 has a 52.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).