Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 975 | 1006 | 46% | 2022-01-01 | Won |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 896 | 1027 | 32% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 896 | 1027 | 32% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1027 | 896 | 68% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
| 1027 | 896 | 68% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
| 968 | 968 | 50% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2016-03-02 | Lost |
| 847 | 853 | 49% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
| 823 | 1002 | 26% | 2011-11-08 | Lost |
| 963 | 982 | 47% | 2011-08-30 | Won |
| 1098 | 887 | 77% | 2011-04-03 | Won |
| 1043 | 938 | 65% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
| 1279 | 971 | 85% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 1225 | 1279 | 42% | 2006-02-17 | Lost |
| 840 | 954 | 34% | 2000-01-18 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 991.9 vs 983.2 has a 51.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).