Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (12 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Romanian): 44
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 959 | 50% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 975 | 1006 | 46% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2021-11-16 | Lost |
| 1037 | 982 | 58% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 994 | 1210 | 22% | 2011-09-26 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1133 | 34% | 2011-06-25 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1121 | 48% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 916 | 1167 | 19% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
| 1012 | 982 | 54% | 2009-07-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 947 | 64% | 2005-03-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1008.4 vs 1047.9 has a 44.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).