On To Florence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 9
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 901 | 68% | 2008-12-11 | Won |
| 1084 | 1120 | 45% | 2006-11-28 | Won |
| 1013 | 1022 | 49% | 2006-09-20 | Won |
| 1114 | 1030 | 62% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1154 | 947 | 77% | 2005-06-11 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1098 | 57% | 2005-05-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 881 | 73% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
| 1074 | 1082 | 49% | 2005-03-01 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2005-02-16 | Won |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1060.9 vs 1029.9 has a 54.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).