The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 991 | 47% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
| 831 | 1058 | 21% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1091 | 957 | 68% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 924 | 946 | 47% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1006 | 52% | 2020-05-20 | Won |
| 965 | 1083 | 34% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1049 | 1065 | 48% | 2016-10-19 | Lost |
| 1238 | 952 | 84% | 2016-05-22 | Won |
| 1020 | 1122 | 36% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2015-11-02 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1010 | 50% | 2012-04-01 | Lost |
| 953 | 959 | 49% | 2011-04-28 | Won |
| 1006 | 1029 | 47% | 2010-12-20 | Lost |
| 1006 | 992 | 52% | 2009-01-21 | Won |
| 1164 | 863 | 85% | 2007-12-04 | Won |
| 829 | 920 | 37% | 2002-03-05 | Lost |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1018.8 vs 979.2 has a 55.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).