Celles Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 954 | 57% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 954 | 1071 | 34% | 2014-07-05 | Lost |
| 1035 | 959 | 61% | 2013-12-30 | Lost |
| 1084 | 906 | 74% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 954 | 986 | 45% | 2007-03-14 | Lost |
| 954 | 986 | 45% | 2007-03-14 | Lost |
| 1075 | 984 | 63% | 2006-03-06 | Won |
| 1225 | 1279 | 42% | 2006-01-23 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1225 | 58% | 2006-01-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2003-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1065.6 vs 1044.8 has a 52.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).