The Whirlwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 976 | 53% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 882 | 1084 | 24% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
| 1027 | 896 | 68% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 1027 | 896 | 68% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 896 | 1027 | 32% | 2021-09-29 | Won |
| 896 | 1027 | 32% | 2021-09-29 | Won |
| 966 | 1098 | 32% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 841 | 841 | 50% | 2018-03-06 | Won |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2017-03-16 | Won |
| 939 | 847 | 63% | 2015-09-02 | Won |
| 1166 | 1230 | 41% | 2015-04-26 | Lost |
| 1094 | 870 | 78% | 2012-04-03 | Lost |
| 970 | 1043 | 40% | 2009-07-25 | Won |
| 1051 | 1074 | 47% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 947 | 988 | 44% | 1999-06-09 | Lost |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 997.9 vs 974.7 has a 53.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).