Rocket's Red Glare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 433 (51 on the archive and 382 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 228
Defender wins (German (SS)): 205
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 831 | 1042 | 23% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1015 | 49% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 896 | 1027 | 32% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 896 | 1027 | 32% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 978 | 1039 | 41% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1066 | 1187 | 33% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
| 1035 | 1038 | 50% | 2021-08-26 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1101 | 39% | 2021-01-08 | Lost |
| 914 | 960 | 43% | 2020-07-04 | Won |
| 998 | 1012 | 48% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 965 | 1084 | 34% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 1149 | 1065 | 62% | 2018-11-18 | Won |
| 1020 | 1009 | 52% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1066 | 54% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1111 | 976 | 69% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 965 | 1057 | 37% | 2016-08-15 | Lost |
| 965 | 894 | 60% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1067 | 50% | 2015-08-23 | Lost |
| 1038 | 942 | 63% | 2015-05-25 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1002 | 80% | 2014-06-07 | Won |
| 951 | 916 | 55% | 2013-11-12 | Won |
| 931 | 976 | 44% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 889 | 956 | 40% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
| 1209 | 968 | 80% | 2013-03-24 | Won |
| 948 | 931 | 52% | 2013-02-22 | Lost |
| 1098 | 946 | 71% | 2011-04-02 | Won |
| 967 | 1169 | 24% | 2011-04-02 | Won |
| 1149 | 1088 | 59% | 2009-09-14 | Lost |
| 1087 | 988 | 64% | 2009-03-30 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2009-01-27 | Lost |
| 947 | 1062 | 34% | 2008-08-24 | Won |
| 1116 | 1164 | 43% | 2008-08-10 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1169 | 38% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2008-05-04 | Lost |
| 1149 | 882 | 82% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
| 966 | 1098 | 32% | 2008-04-05 | Lost |
| 947 | 1218 | 17% | 2007-07-08 | Lost |
| 1056 | 986 | 60% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
| 907 | 955 | 43% | 2006-01-28 | Won |
| 973 | 907 | 59% | 2005-04-23 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1086 | 48% | 2005-01-21 | Won |
| 1228 | 1153 | 61% | 2004-04-27 | Won |
| 986 | 911 | 61% | 2003-10-23 | Lost |
| 947 | 1098 | 30% | 2003-04-26 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1208 | 26% | 2001-01-27 | Won |
| 1010 | 1055 | 44% | 2000-11-26 | Lost |
| 1208 | 979 | 79% | 2000-07-29 | Won |
| 954 | 1082 | 32% | 1998-04-18 | Lost |
| 954 | 1082 | 32% | 1998-03-25 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1292 | 38% | 1995-10-11 | Lost |
| 1084 | 881 | 76% | 1993-08-13 | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1028 vs 1036 has a 48.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).