Recon in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (19 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 67
Defender wins (Italian / German): 64
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1103 | 1018 | 62% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1065 | 1038 | 54% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1010 | 952 | 58% | 2020-09-28 | Won |
| 1101 | 1209 | 35% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 959 | 937 | 53% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 954 | 956 | 50% | 2018-02-23 | Lost |
| 998 | 1016 | 47% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1084 | 1239 | 29% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1085 | 1239 | 29% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2017-01-17 | Won |
| 1059 | 1102 | 44% | 2014-10-14 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1097 | 48% | 2014-09-15 | Won |
| 951 | 1067 | 34% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 1074 | 958 | 66% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1208 | 27% | 1998-12-21 | Lost |
| 981 | 1024 | 44% | 1994-05-30 | Lost |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1045.7 vs 1050.4 has a 49.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).