GOYA
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2024-01-31 | Won |
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 840 | 954 | 34% | 2019-06-03 | Lost |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2017-08-09 | Won |
| 989 | 1006 | 48% | 2015-01-01 | Lost |
| 697 | 1043 | 12% | 2012-09-22 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1088 | 52% | 2006-08-23 | Won |
| 907 | 1084 | 27% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 947 | 1092 | 30% | 2001-11-18 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 948.7 vs 1045.8 has a 36.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).