Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (27 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (American): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 1027 | 36% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1103 | 41% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1098 | 960 | 69% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 981 | 1103 | 33% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 960 | 54% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2022-09-07 | Lost |
| 955 | 1022 | 40% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 1066 | 1178 | 34% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
| 1065 | 1038 | 54% | 2021-08-21 | Won |
| 1020 | 947 | 60% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 995 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 1006 | 1106 | 36% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
| 1135 | 1067 | 60% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 969 | 897 | 60% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1006 | 975 | 54% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
| 1006 | 975 | 54% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1154 | 40% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 978 | 992 | 48% | 2015-04-17 | Lost |
| 1084 | 979 | 65% | 2014-11-27 | Won |
| 1084 | 1103 | 47% | 2014-11-14 | Tied |
| 1004 | 1075 | 40% | 2013-05-01 | Lost |
| 966 | 1106 | 31% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
| 1309 | 1105 | 76% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 1309 | 1141 | 72% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1046 | 54% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 976 | 939 | 55% | 1998-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1044.2 has a 50.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).