Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2022-12-14 | Lost |
| 1085 | 996 | 63% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1087 | 1046 | 56% | 2015-02-03 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1178 | 37% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
| 952 | 1047 | 37% | 2013-09-14 | Won |
| 856 | 1208 | 12% | 1995-05-31 | Lost |
| 976 | 1092 | 34% | 1994-05-28 | Won |
| 866 | 1074 | 23% | 1988-03-06 | Lost |
| 866 | 1074 | 23% | 1988-03-06 | Won |
| 994 | 1074 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 984.8 vs 1074.6 has a 37.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).