Aachen's Pall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 892 | 917 | 46% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 976 | 1079 | 36% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 903 | 1238 | 13% | 2019-06-11 | Lost |
| 1238 | 903 | 87% | 2019-06-11 | Won |
| 907 | 1124 | 22% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 998 | 1279 | 17% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1209 | 35% | 2016-07-28 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 1087 | 1040 | 57% | 2016-05-31 | Won |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
| 939 | 959 | 47% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 853 | 847 | 51% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1169 | 1018 | 70% | 2014-08-03 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1037 | 72% | 2009-05-02 | Lost |
| 1006 | 975 | 54% | 2003-08-31 | Won |
| 1001 | 1210 | 23% | 2003-01-01 | Lost |
| 1084 | 844 | 80% | 2002-12-08 | Won |
| 1208 | 979 | 79% | 2002-09-15 | Won |
| 1092 | 947 | 70% | 2002-08-31 | Won |
| 1098 | 947 | 70% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
| 998 | 986 | 52% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 986 | 1031 | 44% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 1084 | 1138 | 42% | 1995-05-21 | Won |
| 976 | 939 | 55% | 1993-10-29 | Won |
| 1074 | 872 | 76% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1034 vs 1019.7 has a 52.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).