The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American ): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American ): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 912 | 831 | 61% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1038 | 54% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1239 | 992 | 81% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1074 | 981 | 63% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1238 | 952 | 84% | 2016-08-29 | Lost |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1238 | 22% | 2014-10-18 | Won |
| 1002 | 823 | 74% | 2013-06-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1098 | 39% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
| 1018 | 1006 | 52% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1075 | 43% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1030 | 62% | 2008-02-12 | Won |
| 1309 | 1088 | 78% | 2006-09-08 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1225 | 58% | 2006-08-31 | Tied |
| 1033 | 1098 | 41% | 2005-04-30 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-04-17 | Won |
| 1279 | 971 | 85% | 2005-04-10 | Lost |
| 911 | 986 | 39% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 932 | 947 | 48% | 1999-06-05 | Won |
| 1208 | 1093 | 66% | 1996-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1081.7 vs 1031.1 has a 57.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).