Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 171 (16 on the archive and 155 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 74
Defender wins (German): 97
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2022-11-07 | Lost |
| 1020 | 936 | 62% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1049 | 51% | 2019-02-01 | Won |
| 926 | 989 | 41% | 2018-03-30 | Won |
| 1089 | 1065 | 53% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2016-06-13 | Lost |
| 847 | 868 | 47% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 847 | 868 | 47% | 2015-04-14 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2012-02-21 | Won |
| 965 | 1030 | 41% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 958 | 1074 | 34% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 962 | 1208 | 20% | 2001-01-26 | Won |
| 979 | 1208 | 21% | 2000-12-28 | Won |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
| 844 | 1120 | 17% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 980.5 vs 1018.6 has a 44.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).