Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (16 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / American): 17
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1106 | 1031 | 61% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1279 | 24% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1065 | 46% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1040 | 49% | 2021-03-17 | Won |
| 1066 | 1021 | 56% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 947 | 1218 | 17% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 1006 | 975 | 54% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
| 986 | 995 | 49% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1062 | 56% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1097 | 1106 | 49% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1106 | 1018 | 62% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1279 | 27% | 2016-06-05 | Won |
| 1040 | 1006 | 55% | 2010-05-11 | Won |
| 1208 | 1191 | 52% | 1999-05-29 | Won |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Won |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1037.8 vs 1095.4 has a 41.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).