First and Goal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (2 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1082 | 31% | 2005-11-13 | Won |
| 995 | 1228 | 21% | 1996-11-16 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 971 vs 1155 has a 25.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).