The Lighthouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (5 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 39
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1247 | 907 | 88% | 2005-04-23 | Won |
| 1084 | 844 | 80% | 2002-12-21 | Won |
| 1065 | 947 | 66% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 976 | 924 | 57% | 1996-01-10 | Won |
| 957 | 1074 | 34% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1065.8 vs 939.2 has a 67.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).