Caught Napping
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (7 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1207 | 865 | 88% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 1309 | 28% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1228 | 29% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1081 | 1113 | 45% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
| 1090 | 1169 | 39% | 2010-11-13 | Lost |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Won |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1078.9 vs 1092 has a 48.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).