Recapturing Ernage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (4 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 10
Defender wins (German): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 819 | 1047 | 21% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 1075 | 981 | 63% | 2019-05-28 | Won |
| 1081 | 1113 | 45% | 2012-08-09 | Lost |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1023.8 vs 995.3 has a 54.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).