Pebbles in the Stream
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 819 | 942 | 33% | 2022-07-29 | Lost |
| 979 | 1135 | 29% | 2013-09-15 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1116 | 57% | 2009-08-26 | Won |
| 893 | 1013 | 33% | 2006-08-23 | Lost |
| 1279 | 971 | 85% | 2006-07-14 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1024 | 53% | 2005-12-10 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1030 vs 1033.5 has a 49.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).