The Trap at Targul Frumos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (10 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1133 | 43% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1208 | 1101 | 65% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 903 | 911 | 49% | 2019-06-20 | Won |
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1005 | 976 | 54% | 2017-06-12 | Lost |
| 1279 | 977 | 85% | 2016-05-07 | Won |
| 1208 | 1148 | 59% | 2004-01-26 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1110 | 46% | 1994-11-05 | Won |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Won |
| 844 | 1120 | 17% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1036.2 vs 1062 has a 46.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).