Hornet's Nest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 932 | 882 | 57% | 2023-05-16 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1070 | 52% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1239 | 28% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 976 | 1207 | 21% | 2019-01-14 | Lost |
| 1098 | 881 | 78% | 2010-09-21 | Won |
| 1043 | 1167 | 33% | 2010-06-03 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1034.7 vs 1074.3 has a 44.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).