Ghost of Napoleon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1239 | 1098 | 69% | 2018-09-02 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1054 | 46% | 2014-11-14 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1054 | 46% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 881 | 1098 | 22% | 2012-09-08 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1050 | 57% | 2010-05-17 | Won |
| 1096 | 1006 | 63% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 1030 | 1292 | 18% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1218 | 947 | 83% | 1999-11-24 | Won |
| 1112 | 1098 | 52% | 1999-09-26 | Won |
| 1112 | 1098 | 52% | 1999-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1083.2 vs 1079.5 has a 50.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).