The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
903 | 1001 | 36% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
1074 | 992 | 62% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
903 | 898 | 51% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
1030 | 1119 | 37% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
1023 | 1208 | 26% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
1048 | 1309 | 18% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
1218 | 947 | 83% | 2005-12-29 | Won |
875 | 1046 | 27% | 2005-11-11 | Lost |
958 | 881 | 61% | 2005-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1013.5 vs 1040.1 has a 46.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).