Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (15 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1089 | 1078 | 52% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
1147 | 1151 | 49% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
865 | 1207 | 12% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
1292 | 1011 | 83% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
916 | 986 | 40% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
1005 | 1238 | 21% | 2018-05-29 | Won |
1033 | 965 | 60% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
976 | 1000 | 47% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
1285 | 1279 | 51% | 2016-07-21 | Tied |
1030 | 1084 | 42% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
1087 | 1076 | 52% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
1043 | 697 | 88% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
1134 | 1074 | 59% | 2009-03-11 | Lost |
937 | 1100 | 28% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
881 | 1006 | 33% | 2005-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1048 vs 1063.5 has a 47.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).