Raiders at Regi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (13 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 33
Defender wins (Japanese): 67
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
907 | 1024 | 34% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
928 | 981 | 42% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
975 | 1032 | 42% | 2019-03-16 | Lost |
946 | 1043 | 36% | 2015-03-15 | Lost |
976 | 1075 | 36% | 2013-07-30 | Lost |
1047 | 1029 | 53% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
918 | 954 | 45% | 2004-12-27 | Lost |
1098 | 881 | 78% | 2004-07-24 | Won |
1191 | 1208 | 48% | 1999-09-15 | Won |
1208 | 1191 | 52% | 1999-09-15 | Lost |
947 | 988 | 44% | 1999-06-21 | Lost |
1074 | 892 | 74% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
1120 | 965 | 71% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1025.8 vs 1020.2 has a 50.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).