Piano Lupo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (Italian / German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 981 | 1076 | 37% | 2020-06-16 | Won |
| 1043 | 946 | 64% | 2015-09-19 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1069 | 69% | 2014-01-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 1047 | 47% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1020 | 51% | 2010-02-02 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1279 | 42% | 2006-02-03 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1043 | 48% | 2005-03-11 | Won |
| 881 | 1098 | 22% | 2004-12-24 | Lost |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1998-10-17 | Lost |
| 992 | 1074 | 38% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1038.5 vs 1051.5 has a 48.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).