Orlik and the Uhlans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (7 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Polish): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1078 | 52% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1069 | 1101 | 45% | 2015-10-12 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2014-09-06 | Won |
| 821 | 916 | 37% | 2013-06-25 | Won |
| 1099 | 947 | 71% | 1999-12-05 | Won |
| 1010 | 1074 | 41% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1019.4 vs 1063.4 has a 43.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).