Flaming of the Guard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (British): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 978 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-09-17 | Tied |
| 1238 | 1012 | 79% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 916 | 967 | 43% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1098 | 881 | 78% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
| 922 | 945 | 47% | 2007-07-01 | Won |
| 966 | 1030 | 41% | 2006-10-31 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1267 | 20% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 988 | 947 | 56% | 2004-06-26 | Won |
| 844 | 1084 | 20% | 2002-11-27 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1191 | 52% | 2002-03-07 | Won |
| 829 | 1113 | 16% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 996.9 vs 1042.8 has a 43.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).