The Mius Trap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (10 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1101 | 1085 | 52% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1084 | 52% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 927 | 1238 | 14% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1279 | 985 | 84% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 881 | 980 | 36% | 2014-03-27 | Won |
| 1155 | 1098 | 58% | 2006-04-02 | Won |
| 1001 | 907 | 63% | 2006-03-10 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
| 1208 | 856 | 88% | 2003-07-24 | Won |
| 1208 | 1069 | 69% | 2002-08-08 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1095.9 vs 1039.8 has a 58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).