The Chernichivo Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (15 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German (SS)): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 1084 | 64% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 960 | 964 | 49% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1309 | 978 | 87% | 2021-12-19 | Won |
| 954 | 1210 | 19% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 1010 | 954 | 58% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1101 | 45% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
| 1019 | 1279 | 18% | 2017-09-07 | Won |
| 1142 | 916 | 79% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1116 | 57% | 2009-01-12 | Won |
| 1017 | 881 | 69% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 881 | 1011 | 32% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1218 | 947 | 83% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1275 | 1208 | 60% | 2005-08-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1076.3 vs 1043.3 has a 54.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).