The Five Pound Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 221 (29 on the archive and 192 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 96
Defender wins (British): 125
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 988 | 49% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 1036 | 1058 | 47% | 2022-08-05 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1084 | 67% | 2022-06-18 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1085 | 67% | 2022-06-18 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1101 | 39% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
| 1314 | 1101 | 77% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1141 | 69% | 2018-08-17 | Won |
| 927 | 1238 | 14% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
| 976 | 1064 | 38% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 978 | 1158 | 26% | 2016-01-15 | Won |
| 999 | 1017 | 47% | 2014-12-10 | Lost |
| 976 | 1230 | 19% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | 2014-07-01 | Won |
| 1004 | 1100 | 37% | 2014-03-21 | Won |
| 946 | 976 | 46% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1067 | 61% | 2013-10-19 | Lost |
| 951 | 980 | 46% | 2013-04-06 | Lost |
| 1082 | 901 | 74% | 2010-03-17 | Won |
| 1043 | 939 | 65% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
| 1225 | 1309 | 38% | 2008-05-18 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1164 | 46% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1021 | 49% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1021 | 49% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1109 | 73% | 2006-09-09 | Lost |
| 982 | 1279 | 15% | 2006-03-24 | Won |
| 940 | 976 | 45% | 2006-03-17 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1279 | 51% | 2006-01-30 | Lost |
| 881 | 1098 | 22% | 2005-07-27 | Lost |
| 947 | 1218 | 17% | 2005-05-14 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1096.1 has a 45.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).