L'Union Fait la Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (Belgian): 10
Defender wins (German): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1091 | 37% | 2024-07-08 | Lost |
1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
1018 | 949 | 60% | 2023-10-19 | Won |
1113 | 1000 | 66% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
1113 | 1006 | 65% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
970 | 1016 | 43% | 2020-01-27 | Lost |
1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
1058 | 1049 | 51% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
1005 | 976 | 54% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2015-11-10 | Won |
1016 | 931 | 62% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
1106 | 981 | 67% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
1016 | 1006 | 51% | 2014-05-21 | Lost |
1208 | 933 | 83% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
907 | 1247 | 12% | 2010-04-24 | Lost |
1169 | 1090 | 61% | 2010-01-09 | Won |
986 | 982 | 51% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
967 | 1135 | 28% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
1135 | 1006 | 68% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
919 | 947 | 46% | 2008-09-14 | Lost |
901 | 1012 | 35% | 2008-01-20 | Lost |
996 | 1169 | 27% | 2008-01-16 | Won |
869 | 832 | 55% | 2006-06-01 | Lost |
832 | 869 | 45% | 2006-06-01 | Lost |
1097 | 954 | 69% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
954 | 829 | 67% | 2001-01-15 | Won |
829 | 973 | 30% | 2001-01-11 | Lost |
1218 | 1074 | 70% | 1995-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1018.2 vs 1004.3 has a 52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).