A Hotly Contested Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (15 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 1208 | 21% | 2021-04-20 | Lost |
| 1158 | 978 | 74% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1238 | 21% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1084 | 55% | 2018-06-14 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1101 | 60% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1169 | 40% | 2016-09-25 | Tied |
| 1106 | 1018 | 62% | 2015-07-19 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 981 | 1075 | 37% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1006 | 52% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
| 986 | 1001 | 48% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1230 | 992 | 80% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 986 | 1084 | 36% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | 2011-03-23 | Won |
| 1113 | 947 | 72% | 2004-10-16 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1069.6 vs 1062.5 has a 51.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).