The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 881 | 78% | 2024-08-08 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-11-16 | Won |
| 1208 | 983 | 79% | 2023-01-27 | Won |
| 932 | 986 | 42% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1279 | 31% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 952 | 1084 | 32% | 2021-02-09 | Lost |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1101 | 59% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
| 959 | 959 | 50% | 2018-10-14 | Won |
| 1084 | 1239 | 29% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 1085 | 1239 | 29% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 1238 | 1012 | 79% | 2018-01-14 | Lost |
| 916 | 977 | 41% | 2015-04-03 | Lost |
| 916 | 1012 | 37% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1209 | 31% | 2014-09-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1075 | 51% | 2013-06-18 | Won |
| 1106 | 1064 | 56% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1087 | 968 | 66% | 2012-05-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 1047 | 47% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 916 | 1006 | 37% | 2010-09-03 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2009-03-02 | Won |
| 1228 | 1148 | 61% | 2008-10-26 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1013 | 54% | 2008-10-07 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-09-11 | Lost |
| 976 | 1019 | 44% | 2008-01-15 | Won |
| 907 | 1021 | 34% | 2007-11-11 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1116 | 57% | 2007-07-16 | Won |
| 981 | 1098 | 34% | 2007-01-20 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-10-19 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-10-19 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2006-10-03 | Won |
| 965 | 1030 | 41% | 2006-09-19 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1054.2 vs 1065.1 has a 48.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).