Ghost Riders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 906 | 1239 | 13% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 1074 | 982 | 63% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
| 1068 | 1209 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1101 | 65% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 916 | 1074 | 29% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 977 | 916 | 59% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 959 | 977 | 47% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1100 | 1058 | 56% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
| 1067 | 1159 | 37% | 2012-06-18 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1053 | 54% | 2010-11-18 | Won |
| 900 | 987 | 38% | 2008-11-27 | Won |
| 1279 | 1011 | 82% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
| 1309 | 1114 | 75% | 2008-09-06 | Won |
| 901 | 1075 | 27% | 2008-05-28 | Won |
| 1169 | 1037 | 68% | 2008-05-24 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2008-01-20 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1030 | 59% | 2007-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1046.4 vs 1054.2 has a 48.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).