Acorns in the Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (3 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 975 | 54% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1006 | 975 | 54% | 2020-05-21 | Won |
| 947 | 1048 | 36% | 2007-12-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 986.3 vs 999.3 has a 48.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).