Retreat From Bairak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 906 | 1279 | 10% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1084 | 60% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1018 | 1035 | 48% | 2023-04-25 | Won |
| 1147 | 1028 | 66% | 2021-10-10 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1092 | 50% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 970 | 892 | 61% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1006 | 65% | 2020-02-19 | Won |
| 841 | 1043 | 24% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1169 | 28% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 976 | 1164 | 25% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 968 | 1043 | 39% | 2009-03-20 | Lost |
| 988 | 947 | 56% | 2008-06-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | Lost |
| 1120 | 965 | 71% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1020.1 vs 1057.7 has a 44.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).