Keitel and Cox
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (22 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 39
Defender wins (German (SS)): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1129 | 48% | 2021-10-15 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1006 | 52% | 2020-12-10 | Lost |
| 1150 | 992 | 71% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1144 | 51% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
| 1009 | 995 | 52% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
| 1009 | 995 | 52% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1006 | 65% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 831 | 1042 | 23% | 2020-01-08 | Lost |
| 1042 | 831 | 77% | 2020-01-08 | Tied |
| 1043 | 841 | 76% | 2019-10-16 | Won |
| 1029 | 945 | 62% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 938 | 1101 | 28% | 2017-05-15 | Lost |
| 945 | 1038 | 37% | 2015-02-01 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1137 | 50% | 2012-05-12 | Won |
| 1137 | 1135 | 50% | 2012-03-08 | Lost |
| 870 | 950 | 39% | 2011-02-05 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1066 | 56% | 2008-02-22 | Lost |
| 907 | 1033 | 33% | 2008-02-09 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-28 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2007-10-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1025.9 vs 1024 has a 50.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).