Unexpected Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (3 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 20
Defender wins (German (SS)): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1060 | 34% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1130 | 986 | 70% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1005 | 76% | 2009-06-12 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1095 vs 1017 has a 61.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).